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Q & A (That’s Questions and Answers)

I like having CNBC on in the background during the day while I am working my real job trying to clean up the mortgage mess of the past 5 years.  If you watch it often enough you will notice that there are 3 sides to every financial argument.  There’s one guy that is always upbeat and optimistic, one that is acting like his plane is going down and the third  has no prediction and just wants to see how it all plays out.  It’s high class comedy to watch 3 financial experts talk about a single topic with three different opinions. 

It’s no different in fantasy football analysis except for one word. Expert.  I say there is no such thing as a fantasy football expert.

Yes, you can have an advanced knowledge of draft strategy and player projection that certainly can increase your chances of doing well.  Yes, you can do your homework by reading the magazines (although it’s usually outdated by the time you get it), the big corporate web sites, the medium fantasy football web sites and even the obscure blog like you are doing now.  That’s great and maybe entertaining but don’t fool yourself, it’s not “expert” analysis.  I just don’t think it exists in fantasy football. 

If you had a room of so called fantasy football experts and asked them about one player, chances are you will find some that are optimistic, pessimistic and undecided.  Just like those financial experts on CNBC. I like this time of year to research what web sites I am going to use during the season to help me with the decisions I need to make once the season starts.  My favorites and the ones I read almost daily are listed in the Links section on the right of the page.  I encourage you to bookmark a group of web sites that you are going to read this season.  Hopefully I am on your list.  Don’t just do what ESPN.com says or you’ll be sorry.  Read enough that you have time for so when faced with a decision either in your draft, waiver wire or line up, you will have become your own expert. 

Just because I’m not a fantasy football expert doesn’t mean I don’t  have opinions so if you have the questions, I’ll have an answer.  But better than that, I have Polls so you will get multiple opinions to help you make your own decision.

Let’s do the first Q & A column of the season.

Q.

I get to keep 1 wr my choices are Brandon Marshall or Randy Moss. I’m leaning towards Moss because it’s a contract year but I stil think that Marshall and Henne are going to be explosive.

   Jerry

A.

It’s certainly a good position to be in knowing that you will have a top 10 wide receiver locked up before the draft starts.  In my Wide Receiver Rankings at the top of the page I have Moss #5 and Marshall #8 so I favor Moss in this situation slightly.  According to the Fantasy Football Calculator, Moss has been the 2nd wide receiver selected in drafts so far while Marshall is the seventh.  Moss is in a contract year and probably in his last season with New England.  I think he is going to make a statement this season.  I know you must like Henne from reading your question but I am big on Tom Brady this year being fully recovered from the knee injury.  All signs are pointing to Brady-Moss having one more terrific season together.

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Q.

Hey John,
 
I really dig the site. I like your approach to drafting based on points of separation one player gives you over another. I know that seems rather obvious but I think it is often over looked. Your discussion about a Top tier TE vs taking a second/third tier WR and what the point difference is was spot on. I see it often when people take QBs too early. – Josh
 
A.
 
I am glad you picked up on that.  If you play in a 8-10 team league then virtually all the teams will have the equivalent of an all star team.  But if you play in a 12-16 team league then you really need to concentrate on the fact that not every team is going to have a productive starter in their line up.  Top tier tight ends go about 5-6 deep this year so if you play in a 12 team league that means half the league won’t be getting consistent production out of the tight end position.  If you know that going into the draft then you are ahead of the game because most people are just going to draft the best player off a cheat sheet and not think about the supply and demand aspect of the position they are drafting.
Q.
 
John, I noticed that you aren’t writing as much as you did last year around this time.  What gives?  – Bob
 
A.
 
You are correct sir.  Last year at this time I was laid off from the mortgage industry and this year I am working full time as a mortgage fraud investigator for a major bank.  So time is the difference.  However, stick with me.  I have lots of things on the horizon for the web site and I’ll do the best I can to help you be successful this season. 
 
That wraps up our first Q&A column of the season.  The CONTACT tab at the top of the page gives you the information to send in a question or comment.  You can also follow me on Twitter and the link to that is on the right in the Links section where I promise not to tweet you with my every movement like so many do. 

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